
Alright, let's cut the fluff. So, everybody is yelling “Altseason!” as if they’ve just found fire. And, yeah, the charts do look juicy. And the Altcoin Season Index is sending very bullish signals. Ethereum’s on-chain activity continues to sizzle, and Wall Street is clamoring to get a taste of Solana ETFs. CoinGecko is saying that history repeats itself. But hold on just one second before you mortgage your house and YOLO into DogeElonMarsInuV2.
I'm not here to kill your buzz. I'm all for making money. Yet I’ve been around enough cycles to realize that every gold rush draws more fools than prospectors. This one, with the macro environment still nervous, could be a doozy. Before you plunge into the altcoin pool, we need to have an important talk. Here are three red flags you should watch out for!
Is This Too Good To Be True?
Look, I get it. I know that promise of 100x gains on some random altcoin with a name that’s a meme is far more intoxicating. It’s the crypto equivalent of winning the lottery. That’s exactly why you should be skeptical. If a project is agee promising you guaranteed returns that sounds too good to be true – it is. Period.
Think of it like this: if your neighbor offered you a risk-free investment that doubled your money every month, would you blindly hand over your life savings? Of course not! You’d (with fingers crossed) run screaming in the other direction. For some reason, people throw all ordinary logic out the window when they start talking about crypto.
Remember the ICO craze of 2017? You know, like all those projects that claimed they would disrupt everything from dog grooming to intergalactic travel with blockchain technology! Investors found themselves with bags full of vapor as most vanished into thin air. Don't let history repeat itself.
If you can't explain what a project actually does in simple terms, it's probably a scam.
Where's The Actual Utility, Dude?
This one is huge, and it’s related to the first red flag. It’s because many altcoins are developed not on realism and utility, but hype and speculation. They are little more than highly complex Ponzi schemes cloaked in attractive whitepapers and industry jargon.
Ask yourself: does this project solve a real-world problem? Does it have a viable business model? What purpose does it serve other than to enrich its creators? Because admit it, many of these projects are simply looking to ride the coattails of the altseason hype. They see the writing on the wall, they see the potential for easy money, and they’re flooding to market with half-baked ideas and poppycock promises.
We’ve experienced a plethora of such projects that promised to change the world. How many of them actually deliver? How many of them do so with true, real-world use cases? How many of them are really solving a problem or making it a little more efficient?
Now, I’m not claiming that all the altcoins should become the next Ethereum. It does have to actually promise something worthwhile. Amenities to gain the public’s support, it has to have a download of the route that goes past mere speculation. If you don’t know what that reason is, then you’re truly taking a gamble.
A lot of these "DeFi" projects are just reinventing the wheel, but with more steps and higher fees. Don't fall for it.
Liquidity Gone With The Wind
This is the altseason dream killer in secret. You discover the next great micro-cap gem, buy it yesterday and it goes up 10x in a single week and then…you can’t even sell it. The liquidity is so razor thin that each try at cashing out sends the speculative price crashing back to earth. Now you’re stuck with a completely useless token and cursing yourself for not having sold it at a profit while you still could.
Low liquidity is truly the plague of the altcoin market. What it really entails is that a handful of whales are able to heavily influence prices, and that exits become brutally tough. Keep in mind that you don’t realize profits until you sell, not when your price is mooning on paper.
This is where Bitcoin’s stability above $105k will do you a disservice. It breeds complacency. People get excited about the possibilities of those massive returns. What they fail to account for is that those returns only come true if you can actually exit your investment successfully.
Think of it like trying to sell your Beanie Baby collection in 1999. Of course, millions of people overpaid thousands of dollars worth of public money on eBay. Go and try to unload a thousand of them at the same time. Good luck with that.
Before you buy any altcoin, check its trading volume and order book depth. If it seems like you’re going to have issues selling any significant number without crashing the value, don’t do it.
Total trading volume across DeFi tokens has surged by 12% in what is being interpreted as a bullish breakout. But the hype is overwhelming, so don’t let the excitement make you lose your critical thinking skills. Do your homework, control your risk, and be ready to walk away if it starts getting sketchy. Keep in mind, you aren’t looking to become a millionaire overnight. It’s to make it through the crypto winter and be successful long term. Occasionally, the smartest investment is the one you choose to skip. Now, go out there, take aim, and may the chances be always in your favor.

Tran Quoc Duy
Blockchain Editor
Tran Quoc Duy offers centrist, well-grounded blockchain analysis, focusing on practical risks and utility in cryptocurrency domains. His analytical depth and subtle humor bring a thoughtful, measured voice to staking and mining topics. In his spare time, he enjoys landscape painting and classic science fiction novels.